Signs of slowdown in RV industry after Keystone RV Company announces plant closures (2024)

Published: Jul. 19, 2022 at 4:45 PM EDT

GOSHEN, Ind. (WNDU) - There are growing signs that the red-hot RV market appears to be cooling off.

Those signs include two planned plant closings.

“Yeah, everything was going really well, and it seemed like, all the sudden, it just, we dropped in units, and, but it was still enough to keep us, keep us going and everything,” Keystone RV Company Plant 41 worker Robert Davis told 16 News Now. “But then, just all the sudden, it came to a halt.”

On Sept. 23, Keystone RV Company plans to close Goshen plants 41 and 705, eliminating 334 jobs from production to plant management, from quality control to receiving.

When asked if company officials explained why, Davis said, “The high fuel prices, and the dealers don’t want to buy, buy the units that that we’re producing. So, I guess a lot of them is just sitting. And so, with the fuel prices the way that they are, we no longer have orders.”

While Keystone is walking the walk, Winnebago Industries is talking the talk.

During a June earnings call, Winnebago President, and CEO Michael Happe warned of persistent macroeconomic headwinds, including fluctuations in interest rates, gas prices, inflation, and consumer sentiment.

Winnebago expects retail RV sales to likely fall 17 percent this year compared to last. The company will ensure that its shipments are aligned with those sales. The company has identified days or weeks “we will be taking off, or down.”

The RV Industry Association has revised its forecast for wholesale shipments, predicting an 8.4 percent drop in 2022 compared to 2021, although shipments hit a record high last year.

The latest statistics show Elkhart County’s unemployment rate in May was 1.8 percent and not all the economic news there is bad. Barletta Pontoon Boats, a Winnebago subsidiary, announced plans on Tuesday to build a new 180,000 square foot production facility on its Bristol campus. The expansion is expected to create 200 new jobs.

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Signs of slowdown in RV industry after Keystone RV Company announces plant closures (2024)

FAQs

Is the RV industry slowing down? ›

We're definitely seeing demand for RV travel slowed down compared to previous years, and I don't think it has to do with people coming out [the pandemic] and going on different kinds of trips,” Shneyder said. “I actually think it has a lot to do with people having less discretionary spending available.”

Why is Keystone RV closing? ›

The plant closures come amid nationwide fears of a rescission. High gas prices pushed inflation to 9.1 percent in June, a 40-year high, and the Federal Reserve has begun to raise interest rates aggressively in an effort to curb it.

What is the outlook for the RV industry? ›

Driven by an increased interest in domestic travel and the shift towards more remote work, the compound annual growth rate of the North American recreational vehicle (RV) industry is expected to grow by 7%, from US $18.36 billion in 2023 to US $26.96 billion by 2028.

What is the RV industry outlook for 2024? ›

It predicts a slight growth in shipments (the number of new RVs bought by dealerships) for 2024. With estimates ranging from 334,000 to 365,000 RVs set to be shipped throughout the year, the average projection stands at 350,000 units. This forecast suggests a potential growth of 8.8% to 18.8% compared to last year.

Are RVs losing value? ›

Brand-new RVs start losing value as soon as they're driven off the lot and continue to lose value throughout the first year rapidly. The RV depreciation rate increases at a steady rate after that until your RV hits double digits in age. Once an RV is ten years old or older, its value drops more rapidly.

What is the RV industry outlook for 2025? ›

Additional growth is expected through 2025 with wholesale shipments increasing to a range of 374,200 to 408,600 with a median of 391,400 units. In March, the ITR Economics/RVIA forecast projected 2024 RV shipments to range between 334,700 to 365,500 units with a median total of 350,100 units.

Which RV is better Keystone or Forest River? ›

In a comparison of Keystone and Forest River destination trailers, you will find them equal when it comes down to quality, livability, and more. One of the only areas of differentiation is that Keystone does not have the same reputation for quality customer service as Forest River.

Who bought out Keystone RV? ›

Keystone RV was purchased by Thor Industries in 2001, and its new parent company helped bring Keystone to the next level. Today, Keystone owners can enjoy the durability and tech advancements that Thor helps bring to the table.

What RV is Keystone recalling? ›

Keystone RV Company (Keystone) is recalling certain 2021-2023 Montana, 2021-2022 Montana High Country, 2022-2024 Fuzion, 2021 Crossroads Cruiser, and 2024 Dutchmen Aspen Trail LOFT vehicles. The LED backlight circuit board in the cooktop range may fail, causing the board to overheat.

Who is the largest RV manufacturer? ›

Together, the THOR family of companies represents the world's largest manufacturer of recreational vehicles. We offer a comprehensive range of RVs and travel tools to inspire and empower everyone to Go Everywhere. Stay Anywhere.

Where are the most RVs sold? ›

The RV industry is expected to grow by a CAGR of 7% from 2021 to 2026. There has been approximately 30,000 RVs produced a month - a wide range of types of RVs. Over the past few years, the state that has sold the most RVs is California.

Why are so many people living in RVs now? ›

The Covid-19 pandemic forced more people into poverty. Some of the RV dwellers have jobs but either don't want to pay apartment rent, or can't afford to pay it, in a city where the average one-bedroom apartment costs around $2,500 a month.

Is RV manufacturing slowing down? ›

At one point, there was a jaw-dropping 53% decrease in shipments compared to the previous year. While that gap has narrowed slightly to around 43%, it's essential to recognize that the RV industry is still facing a substantial decline in production.

Why are Millennials buying RVs? ›

For the many Millennials and Gen Z individuals embracing a minimalist lifestyle these days — such as owning fewer possessions, living in a smaller space, etc. — it's easy to see how living in an RV can be a natural extension of this philosophy.

Will RV loan interest rates go down in 2024? ›

As of May 2024, RV loans come with interest rates as low as 6.99% for borrowers with excellent credit. You may qualify for a loan if you have bad credit, but you'll pay much higher rates.

Is now a good time to buy an RV? ›

You're shopping outside of peak season

Some dealerships may even slash their prices right before winter to avoid having to winterize RVs. According to CamperFAQs, March and April were the peak months for RV shipments in 2022 and 2023, so you probably want to make your purchase well before early spring.

Why are so many people moving into RVs? ›

The Covid-19 pandemic forced more people into poverty. Some of the RV dwellers have jobs but either don't want to pay apartment rent, or can't afford to pay it, in a city where the average one-bedroom apartment costs around $2,500 a month.

What state sells the most RVs? ›

The RV industry is expected to grow by a CAGR of 7% from 2021 to 2026. There has been approximately 30,000 RVs produced a month - a wide range of types of RVs. Over the past few years, the state that has sold the most RVs is California.

What is the average age of an RV owner? ›

This new research shows that Millennials have overtaken all other generations by more than double. Furthermore, the median age of today's RV buyer is now 32, a 22% decrease from 2021 and well below where the industry has been in the past.

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